If you’ve purchased stocks or own some real estate then you’ve likely heard about what changes the federal government has proposed to the capital gains tax. I thought I would go through and talk about this and in a future post I may go over some of the other changes proposed. There was talk of millions of homes getting built which might be what we need to work through our housing problem. But will we have to manpower to accomplish these lofty targets? I’m not so certain.
Let’s begin with the big headline. The changes to capital gains tax. Under the proposed 2024 budget the capital gains inclusion rate, which is the percentage of the gain that is taxed, will stay at 50% for gains under $250,000. However, beyond $250,000, 2/3rds of the gain will be taxable at your marginal tax rate. This would most likely be taxed at the highest tax rate since the gain itself will almost produces enough income to put you in the highest tax bracket.
So lets take an example. You sell a real estate asset and it produces a gain of $500,000 under the current system where 50% of the gains are taxable, you would owe tax on $250,000. If you’re in Ontario the combined federal and provincial tax rate is 33+13.16 = 46.16%. So you would owe approximately 250,000*.4616 = $115,400 total on the gain.
Under the proposed change, your first $250,000 would produce $125,000 of taxable income. I’m going to assume this is still taxed at the highest tax bracket. This means you would owe $57,700. Then on the next $250,000 gain, you would have an inclusion rate of 2/3rds which is $166,666.67 of taxable income. This means you would owe $76,933.33 in taxes. The total tax amount is $76,933.33+$57,700 = $134,633.33.
So the change in taxes owed is approximately 134,633-115,400 = $19,233 increase. As you get into higher gains this number does increase quite a bit. Another way to look at this is as an “effective” tax rate. If you get taxed on 50% of the income at a 46.16% tax rate your effective rate on all this income is .5*.4616 = 23.08%. The effective rate of 2/3rd’s is 0.6667*0.4616 = 30.77%. So this is an increase of around 7.69% in taxes on any capital gains beyond $250,000.
If you are an investor, and you are buying and selling many stocks, real estate, or businesses and making millions of dollars a year doing so, you’re going to owe approximately an additional $76,900 in taxes per $1,000,000 in capital gains. That would be a total of around $307,700 per $1,000,000. Where under the current system it’s closer to $230,800 per $1,000,000 gain. The increase is the equivalent of a pretty decent salary for the average Canadian. Crucially, primary residences remain tax free, which is the majority of Canadian’s largest asset and many Canadians retirement plans.
Many people in the business community are arguing that this change could do a few things. It could disincentivize venture capital from investing in Canada, disincentivize general investment in new businesses, and cause investment money to leave Canada altogether and put us into a further state of stagnation. Our per capita economic output has actually declined over the past year due to our recent population influx combined with higher interest rates. Interest rates impact borrowing costs which is how a lot of business invest, less investment equals less economic growth; generally speaking. Additionally, if companies who are mobile choose to leave the country altogether, depending on the nature of their work, they may or may not be able to keep a Canadian workforce. Which could also negatively impact the Canadian jobs market.
Regardless of your stance on this I do believe that a change of this nature (some type of tax increase) was likely to be proposed at some point as more and more people feel they cannot get ahead for one reason or another and politicians hear about peoples problems and look for someone to come after. With the higher interest rates impacting food, gas, and other essentials. The cost of purchasing a home having outpaced wage growth by almost 4x. It is likely to put a target on the backs of people who have already found their success as governments search for a solution to these issues and try to find people to help pay for their programs and chosen investments.
So if this change does pass what will happen? I think this change most likely won’t cause any major exoduses out of capital markets. It’s unlikely that people with strong ties to their families and communities will end up jumping ship. After this change, capital gains are still going to be taxed at a lower rate than equivalent earned income theoretically still making it a good idea to invest. I also doubt that it will cause any investors to change their long-term plans and sell all their investments this year. Investment is a long-term game and takes detailed planning. So even with this change I don’t see it having an outsized impact on the markets.
I’m not a politician, not an economist either, so I can’t say whether or not this new tax will actually provide a meaningful contribution to the deficit or if maybe the better approach is to simply spend less. There could also be a variety of other solutions out there that don’t require a tax like this. No one enjoys paying higher taxes. Another point I think is worth mentioning is that the current government has lost some popularity among constituents. Therefore, if I was a prudent politician looking at my odds to win the next election, I would likely try to be a bit more aggressive on what could be one of the last budgets I get to table to see if I can push through some final big changes before I get the boot. We’ll see how this pans out, and I will be following the news on this change closely. While I do have further thoughts on this topic it is a bit of a challenging one to discuss so I’ll leave it there for now. Feel free to let me know your thoughts via email or leaving a comment below.
This post is going to be more of a guide on how to set up a Property Management System. This can work even if you just have 1 property to manage although the payoff is a bit better where you are dealing with more than 1 property. I’m going to assume a few things in the post, that we are mainly talking about property management for residential rentals, this could be any number of rentals, single family, multi-family. I’ll even have a section on short-term rentals like AirBnB or self managed BnBs. I do plan on discussing commercial real estate property management in a later post, but that will be focusing more on people who own retail, industrial, or office spaces.
Property Managers:
So you own a few residential properties and it’s starting to become a bit much to self-manage, or maybe would just rather have someone else handle tenant issues when they come up. The first and most important thing you will need is a property manager. They usually charge between 8-12% of rent in order to look after the property for you. You will still have to pay the expenses to hire the professionals if/when something breaks. But the property manager basically steps into your role and handles the coordination for you. There are different forms of property management. You can hire it out to a larger company who manages multiple properties for multiple landlords. You could try to find someone who operates more independently, small business style where it might just be one person that you sub-contract out the property management to. Finally, you could outright hire your own property manager on a salary, if you have the properties to warrant it.
Regardless which option you choose, it’s important to interview whoever you’re thinking of going with and do some background research on them. Make sure they already have pre-existing systems and a good track record of success in place. I’d also recommend interviewing some other people they manage property for to make sure they are good at what they do. Lastly, I would recommend whoever you work with putting some rules in place for the way that you want problems handled, you are paying them after all. Ask them if they already have standard operating procedures, if they don’t you can always work with them to build a manual of operations dealing with problems that come up at your properties specifically, spend limits on small issues, etc. Building a manual for dealing with problems is a good practice anyway especially if you’re planning to expand and hire your own in house property manager at some point. If you have a smaller number of properties it may be worth asking your Realtor. If you’ve bought an investment property with them in the past there can be some benefits to working with your Realtor. They have access to the MLS for finding tenants, they have worked with many investors and may even have investments of their own, and they may already have a property management wing to their business. From a Realtors perspective its good business to continue working with their past clients in any capacity so down the line you buy or sell your investments or primary residence with them, this can sometimes include property management. Either way they are likely to have some recommendations for you if you are looking for property management and they themselves don’t provide that service.
Tenant Screening:
With the value of properties across Canada continuing to climb, it is important to find great tenants. There are many different ways to screen Tenants, you can add this to your property managers manual. Nowadays the “standard” rental documents are last 3 paystubs or income tax return, Photo ID, landlord reference letter, employer letter, credit report and score, and occasionally bank statements to verify income. That’s a lot of stuff to sort through and depending on the market and the amount of demand in the market, you may not want to be the one doing the background checks and calls to employers. That is where your Realtor or Property Manager comes in. They can do a round of preliminary screening for you, and once they have found a candidate and screened them they can leave the final decision up to you, or you may decide to allow the property manager to handle the entire process. Nowadays it is also prudent to see what you can find from Googling or checking social media platforms to verify what you can about the tenants you are considering. Again, all of the steps of doing this should be added to an manual of operations if you want a property manager to handle everything.
There are many software’s out there nowadays that can do a secondary check, and I would recommend using one of these, the one that I have been using recently to screen tenants is called SingleKey. It costs about $25 per tenant to screen, but it goes in depth and checks criminal records, credit scores, and more. It gives that extra layer of security that makes sure the tenants are who they say they are by doing a deeper dive into databases that the public general doesn’t have access to.
Trusted Tradespeople:
When you are first starting out you many not have a list of tradespeople that you can trust to do a good job if something comes up at your property. Again, if you are unsure where to find someone I would recommend asking your Realtor if they have someone they can recommend. Otherwise if it is your first time using a particular tradesperson I would do a bit of a background check online about their business and see if they are established and legitimate, see if you can talk to past clients about their work. Over time you will build up a list of tradespeople that you know can get the job done right, on time, and at a good price and this would again be something you add to your manual of operations and who to call if something or other breaks, goes wrong, or needs to be repainted after tenants move out. A list of tradespeople that you might want to consider gathering are as follows: painter, plumber, electrician, cleaner, movers or junk removal (to swap appliances etc.), lawyer or paralegal (in case you need to evict a tenant), and Realtor to help find tenants.
Student Rental Property Management:
If you are planning to run a student rental near a University or College campus, the property management of this can get a bit more complicated since you are likely to get calls that maybe working professionals wouldn’t make, like changing lightbulbs, or fixing a hole in the wall. When working with student rentals it’s very very important to factor in the extra expenses that you will come across. This means painting every year if needed, possibly hiring cleaners every quarter to make sure the property stays in a liveable condition, having the correct (more expensive) property insurance, and ensuring the property is above and beyond fire code standards with regards to alarm systems. Student rentals can be a very profitable enterprise, but the management of them also requires more work. The manual of operations for the property manager will likely be different from a traditional rental and take a bit more time to develop. You’ll have to consider getting co-signers on the leases, which is twice the paperwork and twice the screening. You’ll have to make sure that you either come to an agreement with the tenants about garbage, lawn maintenance, and snow removal, or you hire that out as well. You’ll have to consider to a greater extent how you want to manage utility expenses, baking it into your rent, or requiring each tenant to pay a portion (again adding overhead and time to the process). There are many considerations when dealing with student rentals, and you may get charged a bit more by the property management to manage these types of properties, but the one great thing with student rentals is that their rent default rates are extremely low. Parents are supporting them, the government and banks are happy to hand out loans. So it’s more unlikely you’ll be in a situation where someone isn’t paying their rent, but they may forget once in a while so you’ll have to stay on top of things. I will likely make a longer post detailing student rental considerations in the future and how to retrofit and property for it, finding good deals etc.
Medium or Short-Term Rentals (AirBnB):
If you are considering a short term rental business, you will again have different considerations from the other types of rentals I mentioned above. The biggest change is that you will have to have a cleaner basically on call all the time after each persons stay. Many companies exist that specialize in short term rental cleanings, and they will even send pictures after each cleaning, which I would recommend you request no matter the cleaner you work with. This can be even more profitable than the Student Rental business, but it also comes with more risk. If you are considering doing this and hiring a property manager, the fees will likely be closer to 20%. You also have to look into the area you plan to host your AirBnB and see what the rules are for doing so. For example Toronto has tried to crack down on AirBnB’s requiring a license, and only allowing people to rent out their primary residences. There are also many condo corporations in many cities that ban AirBnB or short-term rentals in their bylaws, so if you are looking to purchase a property in a condo specifically for short term renting, you have to confirm whether they allow this.
There are also many many intricacies to getting your AirBnB at the top of the rankings; such as uniqueness of the property, photos of the property, reviews etc. There are websites that can assist in your market research if this is something that you are considering doing. One website that is well known for researching the AirBnB market is called AirDNA. There are also software’s and websites that are built specifically to assist people who are looking to manage or operate their AirBnB’s which can help with managing bookings, cleanings, etc. You also want to make sure that your guests have someone responsive they can contact at all times to deal with their issues in a timely manner since your reputation is everything.
There has been a lot of talk about AirBnB fees becoming a bit excessive in recent years, and while it is a great search engine for posting your short-term rental, once you have more experience and more properties you may want to consider creating your own website, with your own booking system to avoid these fees. This works very well for many kinds of short-term rental operators. For example, there are many “mom and pop” more traditional bed and breakfasts that have minimal websites, a phone number to call, and an email to send an E-transfer to. This can work surprisingly well, and seems to be somewhat more common in rural areas that have been hosting people this way since before AirBnB’s were a thing. Niagara Falls or Niagara on the Lake are great examples of areas where this is more common. But this can also work in more populated areas like Toronto for example. There are some pros and cons to doing things this way, AirBnB has a system of dealing with guest issues that somewhat circumvents you as the host, but if someone is booking directly you don’t have that extra layer of security. But on the flip side, you get a direct line to people, and have more control over their experience and what happens during their stay and depending on the vibe you are going for some people may prefer the feel of a small local booking, compared to booking through AirBnB. Did I mention that this saves on the AirBnB fees? This does come with it’s own host of challenges, where instead of competing on the AirBnB rankings, you are competing on the Google rankings, which could arguably be more difficult. You are also going to have to work harder and operating your business this way will likely require a lot of word of mouth, whereas getting started with AirBnB is very low barrier to entry. Many people choose to do both, or start with AirBnB and then find a way to transition once they have become more established.
Conclusion:
There are many approaches to property management and many different types of rentals out there which is great as an investor because that means you can have a number of strategies for a property that you are considering purchasing, if one doesn’t work out, maybe the other will. Look out for slightly more in depth posts about each of these types of investments in the future. As well as posts about investing in retail or other commercial properties and how to go about evaluating those properties as investments. Hopefully you found this short Property Management overview useful and at the very least it got you thinking about the various ways to property manage and building out your own systems for your portfolio. If you have any comments or questions I’m available by email: oliver.foote@royallepage.ca.
People have been buying run down and dilapidated things, then fixing them up and reselling them for a profit for as long as there have been things that break. It has now taken on a style of it’s own when it comes to real estate. Some people might argue that flippers are just investors who take away supply from other potential buyers. But I can tell you from experience, that the majority of people who are in a position to buy a home they plan to live in prefer to have the home at least 90% complete and up to their standards before they move into it. The people who are ok with a home that requires a ton of work, or has been used as a hoarder home, or is a century home that’s half falling apart, are almost exclusively investors who are then competing with other investors. I think that investors and home flippers are doing a service by purchasing homes that no one else is willing to go near, then turning them into something that is liveable and will appeal to the mass market. If they make some money along the way, more power to them. Capitalism at work. Obviously, it has become clear that relying solely on the private market to manage the housing of an entire country is not the most ideal strategy, there are flaws in every system. That’s a discussion for another day.
For todays discussion I’ll focus on how flipping homes works and some things to consider if this sounds interesting to you. Firstly, you need to have a reasonable level of confidence in your abilities or your contractors abilities if you go the route of purchasing a run down home. With home prices where they are now in Toronto and the surrounding area, even a very poorly maintained home can fetch an absurd price because of the land value and other factors. If the move-in ready home is “only” 100,000 more, most people find it a very reasonable trade-off to pay a tad bit more and avoid the hassle of renovations. That leaves a select few people who are willing to pay the high price and take on the risk of doing renovations with the hope of possibly making some money on the sale. Over time as more and more people have learned about home flipping and the real estate market becomes more efficient, the “gaps” in the market become smaller and smaller which makes it more difficult to make a profit as an investor. You pile on a serious supply demand imbalance due to population and other factors and you find yourself in a bizarre situation where people will pay a premium just to simply get ANY home, regardless of condition. This is not an ideal market dynamic in my opinion for investors or end users.
When is a good time to flip homes?
People say that you can’t time the market, while there is some truth to this, I believe that you can absolutely make educated guesses about where the market will likely be headed. Let’s take a look at some recent examples. If you were considering flipping homes from 2020 to 2022 it would have been a good time to do so because the Bank of Canada cut interest rates at the fastest pace in recent history to prop up a potentially failing economy, and alongside the fed they effectively saved the stock market form complete collapse. This led to significant appreciation one year later. Real estate generally lags behind the stock market, and prices take a bit more time to move. But seeing the unprecedentedly low interest rates at which you could borrow money, locking in a 5-year fixed mortgage was a no brainer at the time. Even if your renovation took 1-2 years, with money being so unbelievably cheap, and so few people willing to put their homes on the market, it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to see how that equation would lead to increasing prices. After the development of a vaccine it provided people with the confidence they needed to be around others again and provided a visible pathway to the end of the pandemic. Around this time in late 2020 early 2021 all the stars were really aligning and they were pointing at the fact that the real estate market was going to get a little bit crazy.
Not every shockwave of the pandemic lockdowns could have been predicted. For example, tradespeople became very challenging to find, and this made home renovation projects more expensive and extended their timelines quite a lot. This is where having some backup plans for any risky investment is always a good idea. In the case of the covid real estate market, being willing to do some of the work yourself would have been a very useful backup plan if you were a home flipper as well as planning ahead and being flexible with the materials you used, since it was nearly impossible to find certain items in stores. A good majority of home renovations can be done DIY with YouTube and a small time investment you can learn how to do pretty much anything nowadays. I would only recommend the DIY strategy if you are willing to put a significant time investment into the home, and have some amount of prior experience, because even though it might be quick to learn it can take a lot of time to complete. It’s also important to factor in the carrying costs into your profitability equation and to budget at least 1.5x the amount of time you think it will take you to finish a project, and even then expect it might take longer than that. Hofstadter’s law states that a project always takes longer than expected, even when the law is taken into account. The best way to ensure that you come out ahead is to use a very conservative equation to manage your costs while also baking in some profit as a buffer.
Purchasing in a depreciating market on the other hand can lead to losing money on the renovation, which is why I like to recommend investors have multiple workable strategies for each investment. You can actually come out ahead by making an educated guess during a falling market as to where you think the bottom or near bottom might be. If you take this approach you need to have multiple strategies and be willing to weather a storm if it turns out you were wrong. If you were banking on the appreciating to get you out of a flip profitability and it doesn’t happen there are a few other options. For example you could turn the property into a long-term or short-term rental, you could get creative with the renovation by including a basement suite to turn the property into two units instead of one, which generally increases your potential rent and final sale price. If you do use the rental method as a backup, it’s important to understand that you will likely be leaving equity in the property which might prevent you from doing another deal in the short term and you also have to be ok with the risks and responsibilities of being a landlord. Making sure that a property has multiple workable strategies is very important to prevent you from completely losing your shirt, especially if it’s your first investment and if you’re unsure what the market will do in the short to medium term. It is also important to actively try and avoid risk. With the amount of information out there today it doesn’t take a genius to figure out that eventually the gravy train of appreciation in 2021 was going to come to an end. The actual end date was up for discussion at the time and I think many people assumed the fed and BoC would increase rates sooner than they actually did. This is where being cautious comes into play. It can be hard to think clearly when you get swept up in the FOMO of real estate news stories talking about people making crazy amounts of money. Getting swept up in the hype and not understanding your own risk tolerance (i.e. how you’ll feel deep down if you happen to lose the majority or all of your investment) is often what leads people to making mistakes and losing money. Ensuring that you are thinking clearly, understanding your own tolerance for risk (there’s nothing wrong with the slow and steady approach), and making sure than an investment will work on multiple levels are all great ways to hedge your bets as an investor.
What does the flipping market look like today?
In our current market there are still opportunities to renovate homes and be profitable, you just have to be more certain about your purchase + improvements price than maybe you needed to be in 2020. I’d consider our current market stable with respect to prices and appreciation. The next move from the Bank of Canada is largely anticipated to be an interest rate cut. So if you buy today I would say there is a reasonable probability that interest rates are lower a year from now which means that prices at the very least are likely to stay stable and more likely to appreciate a small amount from today. Don’t expect anything crazy, but if you buy at a great price there is still room out there to make money as an investor. I would say the biggest difference in this market is that carrying costs have increase significantly thanks to the increased mortgage rates. This means that if your project goes over time, it can cause a significant dent in your profitability. So I would highly recommend being even more conservative with timelines or baking in a higher percentage of profitability to make sure that you still come out ahead.
Many professional investors use various marketing strategies to find off-market properties to purchase (i.e. properties that are not listed on the MLS). A common one is sending out mail to houses in a particular area and offering a quick closing to a distressed home owner. There are companies out there who “wholesale” homes. Basically signing a contract with someone with the option to assign the contract to another person, or even with the option to list their home on the MLS. Sometimes these companies will act unethically and a homeowner will sign something without understanding that there is an option to assign in the contract or that this person will be listing their home and doing showings. Without saying too much on this topic, I want to make it clear that I find this approach to business deplorable. Honesty is extremely important with whoever you are doing business with even if that is the only time you will do business with that person. Your reputation is everything, so if you promise a potential homeowner something the expectation is that you follow through with the promise. There are people who wholesale homes and run their business in a very honest and upfront fashion, I have absolutely no problem with that if the homeowner knows all the facts and decides that is their best option. As a homeowner it is important that you read the contract you are signing, and ask around your network for a trusted lawyer to look at the contract if you are doing an off market transaction. To be blunt a big reason people end up working with Realtors is because it is their full-time job to make sure they have your back, and if they mess up you have someone to blame (and sue). But if you’re doing everything yourself you don’t have the level of regulation, expertise, or insurance that Realtors have in order to protect consumers when dealing with what is usually their largest asset. Of course you can just as well come across an unethical Realtor who is only looking out for themselves and does a poor job looking out for you. But at the very least you have some amount of recourse and consumer protections when working with them.
That was a bit of a tangent so let me wrap up here by discussing how to increase the chances of an investment working out. As I mentioned above, trying to find off market deals can be a serious win when it comes to purchasing a property at a great price. There are a myriad of strategies to find people who are willing to sell, whether that’s flyers, door hangers, door knocking and pitching your proposition to them, online marketing methods, networking with friends, family and co-workers. You do have to be somewhat cautious if/when you do find someone willing to sell and I would recommend asking the homeowners if they would be opposed to a home inspection or at the very least doing an inspection yourself. Sometimes the homeowner might be willing to sell you the home, but doesn’t want to have strangers coming through their home. This does make it a bit more challenging from the investors perspective and if you choose to go through with a purchase you have to be ready for pretty much any problem on the books since you couldn’t get an inspector in to see the property. Depending on how many properties you’ve invested in before or how much experience you have with home building or home inspection you may have enough personal expertise or a friend whom you really trust that can give you a reasonable idea of the condition of the home and if it’s worth offering something to the homeowner.
This is again where risk tolerance comes in, making sure your profitability equation bakes in some of these risks, and preparing multiple viable strategies for the end use of the home (e.g. flip, rent, wholesale). You can find potential homes on the MLS to purchase as well, many investors are quite successful through simply purchasing homes that are on the market and negotiating a strategy that works for them. If you are looking for a deal on a publicly listed home here are some tips. First, look for homes that have been on the market for a long time or have been badly mispriced. Beyond 30-60 days is when sellers tend to realize they may have mispriced their home and this can open them up to negotiations.
Second, find out what the sellers situation is. This is where I would recommend getting a Realtor you trust and are willing to work with to call up the listing agent and try to get as much information as they can about the sellers reason for selling, urgency, and what types of things would make the seller more likely to accept an offer or what kinds of offers they might consider. For example, maybe they have to close by a certain date due to starting a new job. Maybe they will only sell if there is a firm cash offer and are just “testing the market” (these types are generally very hard to negotiate with, since they have no urgency and only care about getting their price). Maybe they are willing to consider a Seller-Financing mortgage at a lower rate than the banks can give you. This can serve as an annuity for the seller (e.g. monthly income) and allows you to give them the final higher price they are looking for since the financing could be cheaper than the banks offerings. You would have to coordinate with your agent and have them work with the listing agent to call up a lawyer and write up a contract for the seller to become a lender. The seller would likely be well advised to do some due diligence on your ability to pay the loan, as well as including the usual provisions in a mortgage such as the right to repossess the home if you default. This can be a challenge to pull off, but working with the right partners can make it a possibility. The seller might be ok with an extended closing which gives you time to find more funds or research development or rezoning opportunities that add more value to the property than a simple renovation thereby making the deal possible.
Lastly, the seller might even be willing to come in as a joint venture partner (if you have a proven track record) and allow you to renovate the home while retaining most of the equity and provide a 50/50 split on any profits made on the renovation and sale of the home beyond a certain price after factoring in costs. As you can see there are almost limitless ways to structure an investment that works for both the buyer and the seller, much of it depends on your risk tolerance, skill set, and your team. Which brings me to my final point, regardless of the approach you take it’s important to assemble a team of people that you trust in order to be successful in your investing endeavours, that includes people such as a real estate agent, mortgage broker, lawyer, home inspector, city planner, and various tradespeople that you trust. Having a strong team of advisors can make or break an investment, especially when dealing with one that has so many moving parts. I would highly recommend if you are thinking of getting into real estate as an investment and are considering any of the more complicated strategies that you find an investor who has done what you are thinking about doing and see if they are willing to spend some time talking with you about their experience. Research online, listen to investing podcasts, and most importantly just get started. You can easily overwhelm yourself with information and prepare until your eyes bleed out but nothing beats real world experience. Be prepared that it may not go completely as planned, start small with something just outside your comfort zone then build on your experiences and improve each time.
Hope that you found this information useful or interesting, feel free to leave a comment with your thoughts on this topic. I’ll see you back here in two weeks with another post.
